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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2023/24 · Women
13 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Japan started on 23%; Japan batted first.
Japan's chances ranged from 0% to 27% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 73% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Gotolbw · Heena Hotchandani 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Heena Hotchandani | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Erika Odabowled · Vaishnave Mahesh 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 17 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 56.67 |
| Mai Yanagidarun out · Kavisha Egodage, Theertha Satish · Vaishnave Mahesh 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kavisha Egodage, Theertha Satish | 9 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 34.62 |
| A Chandelcaught and bowled · Kavisha Egodage 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Kavisha Egodage | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| H Iwasakilbw · Vaishnave Mahesh 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| not out |
| 7* |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 46.67 |
| Seika Sumicaught and bowled · Vaishnave Mahesh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Kurumi Otacaught · Esha Oza · S Dharnidharka 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Esha Oza · b S Dharnidharka | 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 35.29 |
|---|
| E Toguchi-Quinnnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Kotte1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Heena Hotchandani2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Esha Oza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavisha Egodage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 4 | 0 |
1-11 (H Goto, 3.1) · 2-34 (Erika Oda, 11.2) · 3-36 (Mai Yanagida, 11.5) · 4-44 (H Iwasaki, 13.1) · 5-45 (A Chandel, 14.2) · 6-50 (Seika Sumi, 15.4) · 7-67 (Kurumi Ota, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 22/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 24/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 25/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 29/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 33/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 40/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 44/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 45/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 46/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 51/6 |
| 17 | 1 | 52/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 56/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 63/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 67/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.