OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Younisjunejo
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Australia tour of Pakistan · 2026 · Men
4 Jun 2026 · ODI
Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Australia started on 45%; Australia batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shortcaught · Sahibzada Farhan · Shaheen Afridi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sahibzada Farhan · b Shaheen Afridi | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Josh Ingliscaught · Sahibzada Farhan · Shaheen Afridi8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sahibzada Farhan · b Shaheen Afridi | 65 | 71 | 8 | 1 | 91.55 |
 Marnus Labuschagnerun out · Arafat Minhas, Haris Rauf · Arafat Minhas2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Arafat Minhas, Haris Rauf | 19 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 48.72 |
 Alex Careybowled · Haris Rauf1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Haris Rauf |
Australia's chances ranged from 0% to 51% during the match (Pakistan: 49% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 19 |
| 32 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 59.38 |
 Cameron Greencaught · Mohammad Babar Azam · Shaheen Afridi1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Shaheen Afridi | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
 Matt Renshawcaught · Salman Ali Agha · Abrar Ahmed0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Abrar Ahmed | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30.77 |
|---|
| Cooper Connollybowled · Abrar Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abrar Ahmed | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Oliver Peakecaught · Ghazi Ghori · Shadab Khan1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ghazi Ghori · b Shadab Khan | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemannnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 29 | 0 | 0 | 31.03 |
|---|
 Adam Zampabowled · Shadab Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shadab Khan | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 43.48 |
|---|
| Nathan Ellisrun out · Shamyl Hussain, Ghazi Ghori · Shadab Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Shamyl Hussain, Ghazi Ghori | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaheen Afridi1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 30 | 3 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Haris Rauf0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 4.71 | 2 | 0 |
 Abrar Ahmed2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 1.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Arafat Minhas1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Shadab Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 3.11 | 1 | 0 |
| Salman Ali Agha0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-0 (Matthew Short, 0.2) · 2-46 (Marnus Labuschagne, 11.5) · 3-98 (Alex Carey, 22.1) · 4-119 (Josh Inglis, 26.1) · 5-120 (Cameron Green, 26.4) · 6-126 (Matt Renshaw, 29.5) · 7-131 (Cooper Connolly, 31.1) · 8-137 (Oliver Peake, 34.2) · 9-156 (Adam Zampa, 41.2) · 10-157 (Nathan Ellis, 42.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 23/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 34/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 41/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 44/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 49/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 59/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 63/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 70/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 73/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 80/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 87/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 89/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 95/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 98/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 103/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 105/3 |
| 25 | 9 | 114/3 |
| 26 | 5 | 119/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 121/5 |
| 28 | 2 | 123/5 |
| 29 | 2 | 125/5 |
| 30 | 1 | 126/6 |
| 31 | 5 | 131/6 |
| 32 | 0 | 131/7 |
| 33 | 3 | 134/7 |
| 34 | 2 | 136/7 |
| 35 | 2 | 138/8 |
| 36 | 3 | 141/8 |
| 37 | 6 | 147/8 |
| 38 | 2 | 149/8 |
| 39 | 4 | 153/8 |
| 40 | 1 | 154/8 |
| 41 | 0 | 154/8 |
| 42 | 3 | 157/10 |
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oliver Peake: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
_(Marnus_Labuschagne_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}