OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
3 Nov 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 25%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Suricaught · K Klein · Paul van Meekeren 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Klein · b Paul van Meekeren | 25 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 64.10 |
| Waseem Muhammadbowled · Timm van der Gugten 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Timm van der Gugten | 18 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 72.00 |
| Vriitya Aravindcaught · Roelof van der Merwe · Bas de Leede 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roelof van der Merwe · b Bas de Leede | 18 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 48.65 |
| Vishnu Sukumaranstumped · Scott Edwards · Roelof van der Merwe 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Scott Edwards · b Roelof van der Merwe | 19 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 38.00 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Scott Edwards · Paul van Meekeren 3 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Paul van Meekeren | 78 |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 14% to 99% during the match (Netherlands: 1% to 86%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 67 |
| 3 |
| 7 |
| 116.42 |
| Basil Hameedcaught · Bas de Leede · Shariz Ahmad 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Shariz Ahmad | 9 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| D Parasharnot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 50* | 48 | 3 | 2 | 104.17 |
|---|
| Ali Naseerlbw · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aryan Dutt | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Aayan Afzal Khanlbw · Roelof van der Merwe 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Roelof van der Merwe | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Rahul Bhatianot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 54 | 1 | 5.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Paul van Meekeren0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 59 | 2 | 5.90 | 3 | 0 |
| Max O'Dowd0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Bas de Leede1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 3.13 | 1 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 29 | 2 | 3.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Shariz Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Waseem Muhammad, 8.5) · 2-50 (T Suri, 13.1) · 3-82 (Vriitya Aravind, 23.3) · 4-86 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 26.2) · 5-102 (Basil Hameed, 33.1) · 6-199 (Rahul Chopra, 45.0) · 7-202 (Ali Naseer, 45.5) · 8-214 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 47.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 16/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 22/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 30/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 45/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 50/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 53/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 56/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 63/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 65/2 |
| 19 | 9 | 74/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 75/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 81/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 82/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 82/2 |
| 24 | 0 | 82/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 85/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 86/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 88/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 90/4 |
| 29 | 1 | 91/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 93/4 |
| 31 | 1 | 94/4 |
| 32 | 4 | 98/4 |
| 33 | 4 | 102/4 |
| 34 | 3 | 105/5 |
| 35 | 6 | 111/5 |
| 36 | 22 | 133/5 |
| 37 | 1 | 134/5 |
| 38 | 7 | 141/5 |
| 39 | 8 | 149/5 |
| 40 | 5 | 154/5 |
| 41 | 9 | 163/5 |
| 42 | 13 | 176/5 |
| 43 | 10 | 186/5 |
| 44 | 4 | 190/5 |
| 45 | 9 | 199/6 |
| 46 | 3 | 202/7 |
| 47 | 6 | 208/7 |
| 48 | 8 | 216/8 |
| 49 | 9 | 225/8 |
| 50 | 15 | 240/8 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
