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Photo: Avatar5991
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
30 Nov 2025 · T20
North Sydney Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 45%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 4% to 69% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 31% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grace Harriscaught and bowled · Jemma Barsby1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jemma Barsby | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Charli Knottcaught · Sophie Ecclestone · Eleanor Larosa 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sophie Ecclestone · b Eleanor Larosa | 27 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 108.00 |
 Lauren Winfieldlbw · Tahlia McGrath1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tahlia McGrath | 13 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 54.17 |
 Georgia Redmaynecaught · Laura Wolvaardt · Amanda-Jade Wellington0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Wolvaardt |
| 6 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Nadine de Klerkbowled · Tahlia McGrath 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tahlia McGrath | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 192.31 |
|---|
 Chinelle Henrycaught · Tahlia McGrath · Amanda-Jade Wellington3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tahlia McGrath · b Amanda-Jade Wellington | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Annie O'Neilcaught · Tahlia McGrath · Darcie Brown 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tahlia McGrath · b Darcie Brown | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 180.00 |
|---|
| ML Wrigleybowled · Tahlia McGrath 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Tahlia McGrath | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Sianna Gingernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nicola Hancockstumped · Bridget Patterson · Eleanor Larosa 1 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Bridget Patterson · b Eleanor Larosa | 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 275.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jemma Barsby0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Eleanor Larosa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Darcie Brown0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Sophie Ecclestone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Amanda-Jade Wellington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tahlia McGrath0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 | 1 |
1-4 (Grace Harris, 0.4) · 2-22 (Lauren Winfield, 5.3) · 3-48 (Georgia Redmayne, 9.1) · 4-58 (Charli Knott, 10.4) · 5-80 (Nadine de Klerk, 13.3) · 6-105 (Annie O'Neil, 15.2) · 7-109 (Chinelle Henry, 16.1) · 8-121 (ML Wrigley, 17.4) · 9-149 (Nicola Hancock, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 31/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 35/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 48/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 58/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 65/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 77/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 87/5 |
| 15 | 14 | 101/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 109/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 118/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 123/8 |
| 19 | 9 | 132/8 |
| 20 | 17 | 149/9 |
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amanda-Jade Wellington: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Bridget Patterson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lucy Hamilton: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Grace Harris: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jemma Barsby: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Darcie Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellie Johnston: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Redmayne: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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