OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Sri Lanka Women tour of South Africa · 2023/24 · Women
13 Apr 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sri Lanka started on 11%; Sri Lanka batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vishmi Gunaratnecaught · Masabata Klaas · Ayabonga Khaka 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Masabata Klaas · b Ayabonga Khaka | 7 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 41.18 |
 Chamari Atapattucaught · Nonkululeko Mlaba · Nadine de Klerk9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nonkululeko Mlaba · b Nadine de Klerk | 51 | 69 | 9 | 0 | 73.91 |
 Hasini Pereracaught · Delmi Tucker · Nadine de Klerk2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Delmi Tucker · b Nadine de Klerk | 15 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Hansima Karunaratnecaught · Masabata Klaas · Ayabonga Khaka 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Masabata Klaas · b Ayabonga Khaka | 33 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 55.00 |
Sri Lanka's chances ranged from 0% to 29% during the match (South Africa: 71% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
 Kavisha Dilharibowled · Nonkululeko Mlaba4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 42 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 102.44 |
|---|
 Nilakshi de Silvacaught · Laura Wolvaardt · Ayabonga Khaka3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Wolvaardt · b Ayabonga Khaka | 36 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Anushka Sanjeewanicaught and bowled · Nonkululeko Mlaba0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Oshadi Ranasinghebowled · Masabata Klaas 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Masabata Klaas | 20 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 74.07 |
|---|
| Kawya Kavindicaught · Nadine de Klerk · Eliz-Mari Marx 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nadine de Klerk · b Eliz-Mari Marx | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Achini Kulasuriyacaught · Nonkululeko Mlaba · Nadine de Klerk0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nonkululeko Mlaba · b Nadine de Klerk | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Inoka Ranaweeranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 14 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marizanne Kapp1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 2.43 | 1 | 0 |
 Ayabonga Khaka1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.5 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 4.10 | 1 | 0 |
| Eliz-Mari Marx0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Masabata Klaas0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 6.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Nadine de Klerk1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 3.83 | 1 | 0 |
| Delmi Tucker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Nonkululeko Mlaba0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 5.00 | 6 | 0 |
1-15 (Vishmi Gunaratne, 5.2) · 2-73 (Hasini Perera, 17.2) · 3-92 (Chamari Atapattu, 23.4) · 4-153 (Hansima Karunaratne, 35.1) · 5-173 (Kavisha Dilhari, 38.2) · 6-173 (Anushka Sanjeewani, 38.3) · 7-214 (Oshadi Ranasinghe, 47.0) · 8-217 (Kawya Kavindi, 47.3) · 9-225 (Achini Kulasuriya, 49.0) · 10-229 (Nilakshi de Silva, 49.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 15/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 16/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 20/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 24/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 27/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 34/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 40/1 |
| 14 | 16 | 56/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 62/1 |
| 16 | 7 | 69/1 |
| 17 | 3 | 72/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 78/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 79/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 81/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 83/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 85/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 91/2 |
| 24 | 1 | 92/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 93/3 |
| 26 | 0 | 93/3 |
| 27 | 7 | 100/3 |
| 28 | 9 | 109/3 |
| 29 | 3 | 112/3 |
| 30 | 8 | 120/3 |
| 31 | 5 | 125/3 |
| 32 | 8 | 133/3 |
| 33 | 9 | 142/3 |
| 34 | 7 | 149/3 |
| 35 | 3 | 152/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 155/4 |
| 37 | 7 | 162/4 |
| 38 | 6 | 168/4 |
| 39 | 10 | 178/6 |
| 40 | 4 | 182/6 |
| 41 | 2 | 184/6 |
| 42 | 2 | 186/6 |
| 43 | 8 | 194/6 |
| 44 | 2 | 196/6 |
| 45 | 6 | 202/6 |
| 46 | 4 | 206/6 |
| 47 | 8 | 214/7 |
| 48 | 5 | 219/8 |
| 49 | 6 | 225/9 |
| 50 | 4 | 229/10 |
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nilakshi de Silva: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ayabonga Khaka: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasini Perera: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kavisha Dilhari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anushka Sanjeewani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Achini Kulasuriya: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}