OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: NZDF
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa tour of New Zealand · 2023/24 · Men
4 Feb 2024 · Test
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathamcaught · Clyde Fortuin · Dane Paterson4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Clyde Fortuin · b Dane Paterson | 20 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 41.67 |
| Devon Conwaylbw · Tshepo Moreki 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tshepo Moreki | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · Tshepo Moreki · Ruan de Swardt16 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tshepo Moreki · b Ruan de Swardt | 118 | 289 | 16 | 0 | 40.83 |
 |
| bowled · b Neil Brand |
| 240 |
| 366 |
| 26 |
| 3 |
| 65.57 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught and bowled · Neil Brand 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Neil Brand | 34 | 75 | 3 | 1 | 45.33 |
|---|
 Tom Blundellcaught · Zubayr Hamza · Ruan de Swardt1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zubayr Hamza · b Ruan de Swardt | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 78.57 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Ruan de Swardt · Neil Brand 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ruan de Swardt · b Neil Brand | 39 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 92.86 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnerbowled · Neil Brand 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Neil Brand | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 12 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Matt Henrycaught · Ruan de Swardt · Neil Brand1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ruan de Swardt · b Neil Brand | 27 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 300.00 |
|---|
 Tim Southeebowled · Neil Brand0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Neil Brand | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Duanne Olivier3 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 30.0 | 3 | 119 | 0 | 3.97 | 1 | 2 |
| Tshepo Moreki2 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 27.0 | 2 | 110 | 1 | 4.07 | 1 | 2 |
 Dane Paterson5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 32.0 | 5 | 98 | 1 | 3.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruan de Swardt7 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 29.0 | 7 | 61 | 2 | 2.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Neil Brand1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 1 | 119 | 6 | 4.58 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (Devon Conway, 1.1) · 2-39 (Tom Latham, 16.5) · 3-271 (Kane Williamson, 94.5) · 4-374 (Daryl Mitchell, 121.3) · 5-391 (Tom Blundell, 126.1) · 6-473 (Glenn Phillips, 138.0) · 7-474 (Rachin Ravindra, 139.2) · 8-479 (Mitchell Santner, 141.5) · 9-511 (Matt Henry, 143.4) · 10-511 (Tim Southee, 144.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 16/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 23/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 27/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 27/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 28/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 32/1 |
| 12 | 0 | 32/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 32/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 33/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 37/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 42/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 48/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 49/2 |
| 20 | 7 | 56/2 |
| 21 | 0 | 56/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 58/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 63/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 65/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 65/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 70/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 71/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 76/2 |
| 29 | 0 | 76/2 |
| 30 | 4 | 80/2 |
| 31 | 4 | 84/2 |
| 32 | 1 | 85/2 |
| 33 | 1 | 86/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 89/2 |
| 35 | 1 | 90/2 |
| 36 | 1 | 91/2 |
| 37 | 1 | 92/2 |
| 38 | 1 | 93/2 |
| 39 | 0 | 93/2 |
| 40 | 1 | 94/2 |
| 41 | 1 | 95/2 |
| 42 | 4 | 99/2 |
| 43 | 0 | 99/2 |
| 44 | 4 | 103/2 |
| 45 | 1 | 104/2 |
| 46 | 1 | 105/2 |
| 47 | 6 | 111/2 |
| 48 | 0 | 111/2 |
| 49 | 5 | 116/2 |
| 50 | 4 | 120/2 |
| 51 | 4 | 124/2 |
| 52 | 1 | 125/2 |
| 53 | 4 | 129/2 |
| 54 | 3 | 132/2 |
| 55 | 4 | 136/2 |
| 56 | 5 | 141/2 |
| 57 | 2 | 143/2 |
| 58 | 5 | 148/2 |
| 59 | 7 | 155/2 |
| 60 | 2 | 157/2 |
| 61 | 3 | 160/2 |
| 62 | 2 | 162/2 |
| 63 | 1 | 163/2 |
| 64 | 6 | 169/2 |
| 65 | 4 | 173/2 |
| 66 | 3 | 176/2 |
| 67 | 3 | 179/2 |
| 68 | 2 | 181/2 |
| 69 | 2 | 183/2 |
| 70 | 5 | 188/2 |
| 71 | 2 | 190/2 |
| 72 | 2 | 192/2 |
| 73 | 7 | 199/2 |
| 74 | 2 | 201/2 |
| 75 | 3 | 204/2 |
| 76 | 7 | 211/2 |
| 77 | 9 | 220/2 |
| 78 | 2 | 222/2 |
| 79 | 6 | 228/2 |
| 80 | 2 | 230/2 |
| 81 | 11 | 241/2 |
| 82 | 2 | 243/2 |
| 83 | 2 | 245/2 |
| 84 | 1 | 246/2 |
| 85 | 8 | 254/2 |
| 86 | 4 | 258/2 |
| 87 | 1 | 259/2 |
| 88 | 5 | 264/2 |
| 89 | 0 | 264/2 |
| 90 | 4 | 268/2 |
| 91 | 0 | 268/2 |
| 92 | 1 | 269/2 |
| 93 | 1 | 270/2 |
| 94 | 0 | 270/2 |
| 95 | 1 | 271/3 |
| 96 | 0 | 271/3 |
| 97 | 3 | 274/3 |
| 98 | 5 | 279/3 |
| 99 | 2 | 281/3 |
| 100 | 1 | 282/3 |
| 101 | 8 | 290/3 |
| 102 | 6 | 296/3 |
| 103 | 4 | 300/3 |
| 104 | 2 | 302/3 |
| 105 | 1 | 303/3 |
| 106 | 6 | 309/3 |
| 107 | 4 | 313/3 |
| 108 | 1 | 314/3 |
| 109 | 2 | 316/3 |
| 110 | 0 | 316/3 |
| 111 | 5 | 321/3 |
| 112 | 6 | 327/3 |
| 113 | 2 | 329/3 |
| 114 | 1 | 330/3 |
| 115 | 7 | 337/3 |
| 116 | 7 | 344/3 |
| 117 | 3 | 347/3 |
| 118 | 7 | 354/3 |
| 119 | 3 | 357/3 |
| 120 | 7 | 364/3 |
| 121 | 9 | 373/3 |
| 122 | 3 | 376/4 |
| 123 | 2 | 378/4 |
| 124 | 3 | 381/4 |
| 125 | 5 | 386/4 |
| 126 | 5 | 391/4 |
| 127 | 1 | 392/5 |
| 128 | 1 | 393/5 |
| 129 | 1 | 394/5 |
| 130 | 5 | 399/5 |
| 131 | 9 | 408/5 |
| 132 | 3 | 411/5 |
| 133 | 7 | 418/5 |
| 134 | 8 | 426/5 |
| 135 | 11 | 437/5 |
| 136 | 14 | 451/5 |
| 137 | 12 | 463/5 |
| 138 | 10 | 473/6 |
| 139 | 1 | 474/6 |
| 140 | 1 | 475/7 |
| 141 | 0 | 475/7 |
| 142 | 10 | 485/8 |
| 143 | 14 | 499/8 |
| 144 | 12 | 511/10 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Duanne Olivier: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dane Paterson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}