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Nigeria Quadrangular T20 Series · 2026 · Men
21 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Nigeria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ghana started on 38%; Ghana batted first.
Ghana's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Nigeria: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Guatamcaught · K Boniface · M Akhigbe 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Boniface · b M Akhigbe | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 53.33 |
| J Solomoncaught · Isaac Danladi · M Akhigbe 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Isaac Danladi · b M Akhigbe | 35 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 79.55 |
| Obed Agbomadziecaught · Abdullahi Ismail · Chima Akachukwu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdullahi Ismail · b Chima Akachukwu | 7 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 35.00 |
| Devender Singhbowled · Chima Akachukwu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chima Akachukwu | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Richmond Baalericaught · Chima Akachukwu · R Abdulkareem 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chima Akachukwu · b R Abdulkareem | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
| lbw · b K Boniface |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| P Yevugahrun out · Ali Rahmon, Chima Akachukwu · Chima Akachukwu 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Ali Rahmon, Chima Akachukwu | 15 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 136.36 |
|---|
| Nitesh Hoodarun out · Ali Rahmon, R Abdulkareem · Peter Aho 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ali Rahmon, R Abdulkareem | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| TK Josephcaught · R Abdulkareem · Peter Aho 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Abdulkareem · b Peter Aho | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Vincent Ateaknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdullahi Ismail0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 6 | 0 |
| Peter Aho1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| M Akhigbe1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Isaac Okpe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Chima Akachukwu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 1 | 0 |
| R Abdulkareem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| K Boniface0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (J Guatam, 4.3) · 2-42 (Obed Agbomadzie, 10.1) · 3-42 (Devender Singh, 10.3) · 4-58 (Richmond Baaleri, 14.2) · 5-61 (Ayushmaan Mishra, 15.2) · 6-71 (J Solomon, 16.4) · 7-86 (P Yevugah, 19.0) · 8-87 (TK Joseph, 19.2) · 9-91 (Nitesh Hooda, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 13/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 22/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 25/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 44/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 47/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 50/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 57/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 61/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 64/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 72/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 80/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 86/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 91/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.