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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier Group C · 2024 · Men
22 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Spain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Spain started on 69%; Spain batted first.
Spain's chances ranged from 50% to 98% during the match (Czech Republic: 2% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Ihsancaught · Dylan Steyn · S Chaudhary 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Dylan Steyn · b S Chaudhary | 36 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 200.00 |
| Muhammad Yasincaught · Divyendra Singh · S Chaudhary 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Divyendra Singh · b S Chaudhary | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Shafat Ali Syedcaught · Dylan Steyn · S Chaudhary 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dylan Steyn · b S Chaudhary | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Yasir Alibowled · Sazib Bhuiyan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sazib Bhuiyan | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
| D Doyle-Callecaught · Ritik Tomar · Sazib Bhuiyan 4 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Ritik Tomar · b Sazib Bhuiyan | 72 | 41 | 4 | 5 | 175.61 |
| Hamza Darcaught · Divyendra Singh · Abul Farhad 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Divyendra Singh · b Abul Farhad |
| 12 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| A Davidson Solercaught · Dylan Steyn · Abul Farhad 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dylan Steyn · b Abul Farhad | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Christian Munoz-Millscaught · M Vandrasi · Sazib Bhuiyan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Vandrasi · b Sazib Bhuiyan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| LA Burnscaught · M Vandrasi · Abul Farhad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Vandrasi · b Abul Farhad | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| SJ Hughes-Pinannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Raja Adeelnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Tyagi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 2 | 0 |
| S Chaudhary0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 5.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Sazib Bhuiyan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| M Vandrasi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Abul Farhad0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Naveed Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-14 (Muhammad Yasin, 1.1) · 2-53 (Shafat Ali Syed, 4.0) · 3-65 (Mohammad Ihsan, 6.0) · 4-66 (Yasir Ali, 6.3) · 5-95 (Hamza Dar, 10.4) · 6-171 (D Doyle-Calle, 18.3) · 7-171 (Christian Munoz-Mills, 18.4) · 8-176 (LA Burns, 19.2) · 9-177 (A Davidson Soler, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 27/1 |
| 3 | 16 | 43/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 53/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 63/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 65/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 69/4 |
| 8 | 10 | 79/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 81/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 86/4 |
| 11 | 13 | 99/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 104/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 107/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 116/5 |
| 15 | 10 | 126/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 135/5 |
| 17 | 17 | 152/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 163/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 175/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 179/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.