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Thailand tour of Indonesia · 2024 · Men
4 May 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 32%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 18% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dharma Kesumacaught · Y Saranonnakkun · A Kalasi 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Y Saranonnakkun · b A Kalasi | 18 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| F Banunaekrun out · Akshaykumar Yadav, N Nuntarach · Sarawut Maliwan 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Akshaykumar Yadav, N Nuntarach | 21 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Kadek Gamantikacaught · S Rungrueang · Sarawut Maliwan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Rungrueang · b Sarawut Maliwan | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 145.45 |
| PR Survecaught · S Rungrueang · Sarawut Maliwan 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Rungrueang · b Sarawut Maliwan | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Gede Artacaught · Sarawut Maliwan · A Kalasi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarawut Maliwan · b A Kalasi | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 44.44 |
| Gaurav Tiwaribowled · Mukesh Thakur 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mukesh Thakur | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Danilson Hawoecaught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · Mukesh Thakur 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · b Mukesh Thakur | 19 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 126.67 |
|---|
| Ketut Artawanbowled · Jandre Coetzee 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jandre Coetzee | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Ahmad Ramdoninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| IW Budiartacaught · A Kalasi · Mukesh Thakur 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Kalasi · b Mukesh Thakur | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| RM Kodanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 10 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mukesh Thakur0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Jandre Coetzee0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
| N Nuntarach0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 5 | 1 |
| A Kalasi0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-47 (Dharma Kesuma, 7.5) · 2-49 (F Banunaek, 8.2) · 3-63 (PR Surve, 11.0) · 4-76 (Kadek Gamantika, 12.2) · 5-82 (Gede Arta, 13.5) · 6-85 (Gaurav Tiwari, 14.4) · 7-116 (Ketut Artawan, 17.3) · 8-120 (Danilson Hawoe, 18.3) · 9-120 (IW Budiarta, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 33/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 37/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 44/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 48/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 56/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 58/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 63/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 70/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 80/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 83/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 86/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 97/6 |
| 17 | 16 | 113/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 118/7 |
| 19 | 2 | 120/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 126/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.