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Mozambique tour of Eswatini · 2025 · Men
12 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Mozambique more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Eswatini started on 34%; Eswatini batted first.
Eswatini's chances ranged from 9% to 100% during the match (Mozambique: 0% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adil Butt (2)caught · Manussur Algi · Joao Hou 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Manussur Algi · b Joao Hou | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
| M Kulfiwalarun out · JM Joao, Abdul Rehman · Joao Hou 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · JM Joao, Abdul Rehman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| M Khojbariyacaught · Joao Hou · Manussur Algi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joao Hou · b Manussur Algi | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Eric Phiricaught · CB Roposo · LI Salomone 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · CB Roposo · b LI Salomone | 41 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 120.59 |
| H Rashidcaught · LI Salomone · CB Roposo 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · LI Salomone · b CB Roposo | 23 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 92.00 |
| bowled · b Joao Hou |
| 54 |
| 30 |
| 6 |
| 3 |
| 180.00 |
| R Sandeeprun out · CB Roposo, Abdul Rehman · CB Roposo 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · CB Roposo, Abdul Rehman | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
| Umair Qasimcaught · VE Tembo · LI Salomone 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · VE Tembo · b LI Salomone | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 187.50 |
|---|
| M Jelenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| M Magagulanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joao Hou0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Manussur Algi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| CM Mbebe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| CB Roposo0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 1 |
| LI Salomone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Adil Butt (2), 0.3) · 2-11 (M Kulfiwala, 1.0) · 3-11 (M Khojbariya, 1.1) · 4-64 (H Rashid, 9.1) · 5-88 (Eric Phiri, 12.3) · 6-127 (R Sandeep, 16.0) · 7-153 (Umair Qasim, 18.3) · 8-155 (H Jangariya, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/2 |
| 2 | 6 | 17/3 |
| 3 | 4 | 21/3 |
| 4 | 13 | 34/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 40/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 42/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 48/3 |
| 8 | 10 | 58/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 64/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 68/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 77/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 83/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 88/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 96/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 104/5 |
| 16 | 23 | 127/6 |
| 17 | 7 | 134/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 146/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 155/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 160/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.