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Bahrain tour of Indonesia · 2024/25 · Men
22 Feb 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 76%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 2% to 79% during the match (Indonesia: 21% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · Danilson Hawoe 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b Danilson Hawoe | 48 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 120.00 |
| P Kurupcaught · KC Ramamoorthy · RM Koda 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KC Ramamoorthy · b RM Koda | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Sohail Ahmedbowled · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b F Banunaek | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasircaught · Dharma Kesuma · Danilson Hawoe 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dharma Kesuma · b Danilson Hawoe | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Junaid Azizcaught · Danilson Hawoe · PR Surve 0 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Danilson Hawoe · b PR Surve | 48 | 37 | 0 | 5 | 129.73 |
| run out · J Dzulfikar, Ahmad Ramdoni |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Rizwan Buttcaught · Ketut Artawan · Danilson Hawoe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ketut Artawan · b Danilson Hawoe | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| S Sarthakrun out · KC Ramamoorthy, Ahmad Ramdoni · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · KC Ramamoorthy, Ahmad Ramdoni | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Asif Shaikhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Abdul Majeedlbw · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b F Banunaek | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Imran Khan (5)caught · Danilson Hawoe · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danilson Hawoe · b F Banunaek | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RM Koda0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 2 | 0 |
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 4.20 | 4 | 0 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Gaurav Tiwari0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| PR Surve0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (P Kurup, 2.5) · 2-18 (Sohail Ahmed, 3.5) · 3-42 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 5.5) · 4-79 (Fiaz Ahmed, 12.2) · 5-81 (Muhammed Basil, 12.5) · 6-113 (Rizwan Butt, 16.5) · 7-121 (S Sarthak, 18.0) · 8-127 (Junaid Aziz, 18.2) · 9-128 (Abdul Majeed, 19.1) · 10-128 (Imran Khan (5), 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 15 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 42/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 45/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 48/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 51/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 69/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 79/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 81/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 90/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 95/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 110/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 114/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 121/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 128/8 |
| 20 | 0 | 128/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.