Los Angeles Knight RidersversusWashington Freedom

9 Jul 2026 · T20

Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Los Angeles Knight Riders won by 18 runs

Los Angeles Knight Riders20.0 overs192/8 Washington Freedom20.0 overs174/8 Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Los Angeles Knight Riders started on 36%; Los Angeles Knight Riders batted first.

Los Angeles Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Washington Freedom is the rest

Los Angeles Knight Riders's chances ranged from 21% to 100% during the match (Washington Freedom: 0% to 79%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 13.1: Ali Khan to AGS Gous, AGS Gous out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 58% to 72%.
2nd inns 13.4: Ali Khan to BKEL Milantha, BKEL Milantha out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 68% to 82%.
2nd inns 16.3: SC van Schalkwyk to BJ Dwarshuis, BJ Dwarshuis out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 61% to 76%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Los Angeles Knight Riders192/8 Washington Freedom174/8

Innings 1