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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
12 Jul 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 56%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Kent: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardbowled · Jas Singh 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jas Singh | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 212.50 |
| Daniel Hughescaught · Sam Billings · Nathan Gilchrist 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Nathan Gilchrist | 16 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 88.89 |
| Tom Clarkcaught · Jack Leaning · Jas Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Jas Singh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| James Colesbowled · Tom Rogers 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Rogers | 14 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 107.69 |
| John Simpsonnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 53* | 39 | 3 | 1 | 135.90 |
| not out |
| 87* |
| 41 |
| 7 |
| 4 |
| 212.20 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 6 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jas Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 2 | 2 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 2 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Harrison Ward, 1.2) · 2-22 (Tom Clark, 1.4) · 3-42 (James Coles, 5.1) · 4-64 (Daniel Hughes, 7.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 22/2 |
| 3 | 3 | 25/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 38/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 7 | 12 | 58/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 64/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 70/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 84/4 |
| 12 | 13 | 97/4 |
| 13 | 14 | 111/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 123/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 131/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 142/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 151/4 |
| 18 | 19 | 170/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 182/4 |
| 20 | 21 | 203/4 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Feroze Khushi: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.