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Photo: আফতাবুজ্জামান
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Ireland tour of Bangladesh · 2025/26 · Men
11 Nov 2025 · Test
Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andrew Balbirnielbw · Hasan Mahmud0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Mahmud | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Paul Stirlingcaught · Shadman Islam · Nahid Rana9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadman Islam · b Nahid Rana | 60 | 76 | 9 | 0 | 78.95 |
| Cade Carmichaelcaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Mehedi Hasan 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Mehedi Hasan | 59 | 129 | 7 | 0 | 45.74 |
 Harry Tectorlbw · Mehedi Hasan0 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Mehedi Hasan |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 16.67 |
| Curtis Camphercaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Hasan Murad 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Hasan Murad | 44 | 94 | 4 | 2 | 46.81 |
|---|
| Lorcan Tuckerstumped · Litton Das · Hasan Murad 3 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Litton Das · b Hasan Murad | 41 | 80 | 3 | 2 | 51.25 |
|---|
 Andrew McBrinestumped · Litton Das · Mehedi Hasan1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Litton Das · b Mehedi Hasan | 5 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Jordan Neilllbw · Taijul Islam 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 30 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Barry McCarthybowled · Hasan Mahmud 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 31 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 48.44 |
|---|
| Matthew Humphreyslbw · Taijul Islam 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Craig Youngnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasan Mahmud4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.2 | 4 | 42 | 2 | 3.15 | 0 | 0 |
 Nahid Rana0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 65 | 1 | 4.64 | 5 | 0 |
 Taijul Islam6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 6 | 78 | 2 | 3.55 | 0 | 0 |
| Hasan Murad5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 5 | 47 | 2 | 2.35 | 0 | 0 |
 Mehedi Hasan6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 6 | 50 | 3 | 2.17 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Andrew Balbirnie, 0.4) · 2-96 (Paul Stirling, 26.3) · 3-97 (Harry Tector, 27.5) · 4-150 (Cade Carmichael, 43.2) · 5-203 (Curtis Campher, 63.3) · 6-218 (Lorcan Tucker, 67.4) · 7-222 (Andrew McBrine, 72.5) · 8-270 (Jordan Neill, 90.0) · 9-278 (Matthew Humphreys, 91.2) · 10-286 (Barry McCarthy, 92.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 31/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 34/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 34/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 44/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 47/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 53/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 62/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 63/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 63/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 64/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 65/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 68/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 73/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 74/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 76/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 81/1 |
| 23 | 1 | 82/1 |
| 24 | 7 | 89/1 |
| 25 | 4 | 93/1 |
| 26 | 1 | 94/1 |
| 27 | 3 | 97/2 |
| 28 | 0 | 97/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 101/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 103/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 107/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 107/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 110/3 |
| 34 | 2 | 112/3 |
| 35 | 1 | 113/3 |
| 36 | 8 | 121/3 |
| 37 | 8 | 129/3 |
| 38 | 4 | 133/3 |
| 39 | 1 | 134/3 |
| 40 | 5 | 139/3 |
| 41 | 7 | 146/3 |
| 42 | 4 | 150/3 |
| 43 | 0 | 150/3 |
| 44 | 0 | 150/4 |
| 45 | 0 | 150/4 |
| 46 | 7 | 157/4 |
| 47 | 7 | 164/4 |
| 48 | 1 | 165/4 |
| 49 | 0 | 165/4 |
| 50 | 6 | 171/4 |
| 51 | 5 | 176/4 |
| 52 | 1 | 177/4 |
| 53 | 4 | 181/4 |
| 54 | 1 | 182/4 |
| 55 | 1 | 183/4 |
| 56 | 1 | 184/4 |
| 57 | 2 | 186/4 |
| 58 | 1 | 187/4 |
| 59 | 6 | 193/4 |
| 60 | 0 | 193/4 |
| 61 | 0 | 193/4 |
| 62 | 2 | 195/4 |
| 63 | 7 | 202/4 |
| 64 | 1 | 203/5 |
| 65 | 1 | 204/5 |
| 66 | 7 | 211/5 |
| 67 | 1 | 212/5 |
| 68 | 6 | 218/6 |
| 69 | 1 | 219/6 |
| 70 | 0 | 219/6 |
| 71 | 1 | 220/6 |
| 72 | 2 | 222/6 |
| 73 | 0 | 222/7 |
| 74 | 1 | 223/7 |
| 75 | 5 | 228/7 |
| 76 | 5 | 233/7 |
| 77 | 0 | 233/7 |
| 78 | 0 | 233/7 |
| 79 | 1 | 234/7 |
| 80 | 0 | 234/7 |
| 81 | 0 | 234/7 |
| 82 | 7 | 241/7 |
| 83 | 0 | 241/7 |
| 84 | 3 | 244/7 |
| 85 | 11 | 255/7 |
| 86 | 11 | 266/7 |
| 87 | 0 | 266/7 |
| 88 | 0 | 266/7 |
| 89 | 1 | 267/7 |
| 90 | 3 | 270/8 |
| 91 | 8 | 278/8 |
| 92 | 6 | 284/9 |
| 93 | 2 | 286/10 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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