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Central Europe Cup · 2026 · Men
28 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Czech Republic more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Czech Republic started on 51%; Czech Republic batted first.
Czech Republic's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (Luxembourg: 0% to 51%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratul Khanlbw · E Packard 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b E Packard | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| S Groverbowled · Milad Momend 13 fours · 6 sixes | bowled · b Milad Momend | 116 | 55 | 13 | 6 | 210.91 |
| S Davizicaught · J Madan · E Packard 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · J Madan · b E Packard | 45 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 180.00 |
| Sazib Bhuiyanbowled · J Madan 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b J Madan | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 260.00 |
| S Wickramasekarabowled · V Vijh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b V Vijh | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Ritik Tomarcaught · M Cope · Kamal Soukhiya1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · M Cope · b Kamal Soukhiya |
| 13 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 162.50 |
| Divyendra Singhlbw · Kamal Soukhiya 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kamal Soukhiya | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| RM Magarerun out · Milad Momend · Milad Momend 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Milad Momend | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Saqlain Mukhtarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| D Ramaninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Madan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamal Soukhiya0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 6 | 0 |
| Milad Momend0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 65 | 1 | 16.25 | 3 | 0 |
| E Packard0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 |
| V Vijh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 12.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-57 (Ratul Khan, 5.2) · 2-134 (S Davizi, 12.0) · 3-156 (Sazib Bhuiyan, 13.3) · 4-159 (S Wickramasekara, 14.1) · 5-208 (Ritik Tomar, 17.2) · 6-208 (Divyendra Singh, 17.3) · 7-212 (RM Magare, 18.1) · 8-216 (S Grover, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 21 | 57/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 63/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 74/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 87/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 97/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 109/1 |
| 11 | 17 | 126/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 134/2 |
| 13 | 15 | 149/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 159/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 168/4 |
| 16 | 14 | 182/4 |
| 17 | 26 | 208/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 212/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 219/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 224/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.