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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
2 Oct 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 36%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 36% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 64% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Pierre Kotzecaught · Syed Haider · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Haider · b Junaid Siddique | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jan Frylinckcaught · Ali Naseer · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Naseer · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Malan Krugercaught · Syed Haider · Muhammad Farooq0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Haider · b Muhammad Farooq | 9 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Alishan Sharafu · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alishan Sharafu · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| JJ Smitrun out · Waseem Muhammad · Muhammad Jawadullah2 fours · 1 sixes |
| run out · Waseem Muhammad |
| 28 |
| 39 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 71.79 |
| Zane Greennot out 7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 52* | 35 | 7 | 1 | 148.57 |
|---|
| DO Leicherrun out · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Farooq 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Rahul Chopra | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| JC Baltnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 14 | 0 | 0 | 78.57 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Farooq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Jean-Pierre Kotze, 0.2) · 2-2 (Jan Frylinck, 1.4) · 3-2 (Gerhard Erasmus, 1.5) · 4-33 (Malan Kruger, 8.5) · 5-58 (JJ Smit, 12.3) · 6-71 (DO Leicher, 14.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/3 |
| 3 | 2 | 4/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 8/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 14/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 15/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 24/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 28/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 37/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 40/4 |
| 11 | 14 | 54/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 58/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 63/5 |
| 14 | 7 | 70/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 73/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 78/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 84/6 |
| 18 | 14 | 98/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 103/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 110/6 |
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
