**Centurion Park**
Photo: shodan
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

SA20 · 2025/26 · Men

Pretoria CapitalsversusSunrisers Eastern Cape

5 Jan 2026 · T20

Centurion Park · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Eastern Cape won by 10 wickets

Pretoria Capitals20.0 overs176/7 Sunrisers Eastern Cape14.2 overs177/0 Centurion Park ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Pretoria Capitals started on 41%; Pretoria Capitals batted first.

Pretoria Capitals’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Eastern Cape is the rest

Pretoria Capitals's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Sunrisers Eastern Cape: 46% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.4: L Sipamla to B Parsons, B Parsons out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 46% to 57%.
4.5: AF Milne to SD Hope, SD Hope out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 58% to 68%.
10.2: L Gregory to WJ Lubbe, WJ Lubbe out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 47% to 54%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Pretoria Capitals176/7 Sunrisers Eastern Cape177/0

Innings 1