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Sweden tour of Indonesia · 2026 · Men
7 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 64%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 4% to 78% during the match (Sweden: 22% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Priandanarun out · W Boshoff, Zain Muzaffar · Zain Muzaffar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · W Boshoff, Zain Muzaffar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
| KB Temberbowled · Zain Muzaffar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zain Muzaffar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kavin Chaddhabowled · Samiullah Rahmani 6 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Samiullah Rahmani | 45 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 104.65 |
| Sudhakar Jegannathancaught · YS Chauhan · SN Swamy 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · YS Chauhan · b SN Swamy | 38 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 102.70 |
| Gede Artacaught and bowled · Samiullah Rahmani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Samiullah Rahmani | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| lbw · b Samiullah Rahmani |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| S Kharvicaught · Imal Zuwak · Samiullah Rahmani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imal Zuwak · b Samiullah Rahmani | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Ketut Artawancaught · A Mundra · Zabiullah Zahid 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Mundra · b Zabiullah Zahid | 23 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 176.92 |
|---|
| Anjar Tadarusrun out · W Boshoff, SN Swamy · SN Swamy 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · W Boshoff, SN Swamy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| F Banunaekcaught · A Dhabe · Zabiullah Zahid 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Dhabe · b Zabiullah Zahid | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Dhanesh Shettynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zain Muzaffar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Zabiullah Zahid1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 5.65 | 2 | 0 |
| Zaid Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| SN Swamy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| A Dhabe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Samiullah Rahmani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (KB Tember, 0.3) · 2-4 (Gede Priandana, 0.5) · 3-82 (Kavin Chaddha, 11.3) · 4-82 (Gede Arta, 11.4) · 5-83 (Danilson Hawoe, 11.5) · 6-89 (S Kharvi, 13.1) · 7-111 (Sudhakar Jegannathan, 16.1) · 8-111 (Anjar Tadarus, 16.2) · 9-118 (F Banunaek, 17.3) · 10-119 (Ketut Artawan, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/2 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/2 |
| 3 | 10 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 15 | 42/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 68/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 75/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 82/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 83/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 89/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 97/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 100/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 111/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 116/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 119/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.