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Australia tour of Bangladesh · 2026 · Men
9 Jun 2026 · ODI
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saif Hassancaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Nathan Ellis 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Nathan Ellis | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Tanzid Hasancaught · Xavier Bartlett · Nathan Ellis 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Nathan Ellis | 54 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 122.73 |
 Najmul Hossain Shantocaught · Cooper Connolly · Matt Renshaw9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cooper Connolly · b Matt Renshaw | 67 | 86 | 9 | 1 | 77.91 |
 Litton Dascaught and bowled · Matt Renshaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matt Renshaw | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
| caught · Nathan Ellis · b Xavier Bartlett |
| 31 |
| 51 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 60.78 |
 Mosaddek Hossain Saikatnot out7 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 86* | 70 | 7 | 3 | 122.86 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasanlbw · Liam Scott0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Liam Scott | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Tanvir Islamcaught · Liam Scott · Nathan Ellis 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Scott · b Nathan Ellis | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
 Taskin Ahmedcaught · Nathan Ellis · Liam Scott2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nathan Ellis · b Liam Scott | 20 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 62 | 1 | 6.20 | 3 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 38 | 3 | 3.80 | 1 | 0 |
| Liam Scott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 57 | 2 | 7.13 | 1 | 0 |
 Cameron Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Renshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 4.38 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 6.71 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Saif Hassan, 1.2) · 2-106 (Tanzid Hasan, 16.3) · 3-125 (Litton Das, 21.4) · 4-140 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 25.3) · 5-215 (Tawhid Hridoy, 40.3) · 6-219 (Mehedi Hasan, 42.4) · 7-239 (Tanvir Islam, 44.3) · 8-284 (Taskin Ahmed, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 35/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 48/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 54/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 62/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 67/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 75/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 81/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 87/1 |
| 15 | 10 | 97/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 102/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 107/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 111/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 118/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 120/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 122/2 |
| 22 | 5 | 127/3 |
| 23 | 5 | 132/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 136/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 140/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 144/4 |
| 27 | 8 | 152/4 |
| 28 | 1 | 153/4 |
| 29 | 9 | 162/4 |
| 30 | 5 | 167/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 169/4 |
| 32 | 3 | 172/4 |
| 33 | 8 | 180/4 |
| 34 | 11 | 191/4 |
| 35 | 2 | 193/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 195/4 |
| 37 | 0 | 195/4 |
| 38 | 11 | 206/4 |
| 39 | 4 | 210/4 |
| 40 | 4 | 214/4 |
| 41 | 2 | 216/5 |
| 42 | 1 | 217/5 |
| 43 | 2 | 219/6 |
| 44 | 16 | 235/6 |
| 45 | 4 | 239/7 |
| 46 | 11 | 250/7 |
| 47 | 5 | 255/7 |
| 48 | 7 | 262/7 |
| 49 | 9 | 271/7 |
| 50 | 13 | 284/8 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mosaddek Hossain Saikat: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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