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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Africa Region Division Two Qualifier · 2025 · Women
21 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Rwanda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Rwanda started on 85%; Rwanda batted first.
Rwanda's chances ranged from 79% to 100% during the match (Malawi: 0% to 21%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Bimenyimanabowled · Eva Kabwere 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eva Kabwere | 14 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 66.67 |
| M Uwaselbw · Sugeni Kananji 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sugeni Kananji | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Gisele Ishimwebowled · Sugeni Kananji 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sugeni Kananji | 42 | 47 | 5 | 0 | 89.36 |
| C Uwaserun out · LL Dimba, L Malino · L Malino 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · LL Dimba, L Malino | 14 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| S Niyomuhozacaught · S Chinawa · L Malino 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Chinawa · b L Malino | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Henriette Ishimwe |
| caught · S Chinawa · b Eva Kabwere |
| 24 |
| 21 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 114.29 |
| A Ikuzwenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 177.78 |
|---|
| B Murekatetenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 16 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugeni Kananji0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.1 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.28 | 9 | 0 |
| Eva Kabwere0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Ketrina Chingaipe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| L Malino1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 1 |
| LL Dimba0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Praise Maziya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (M Uwase, 0.5) · 2-30 (Marie Bimenyimana, 6.1) · 3-61 (C Uwase, 10.0) · 4-66 (S Niyomuhoza, 11.5) · 5-108 (Henriette Ishimwe, 17.5) · 6-130 (Gisele Ishimwe, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 30/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 33/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 41/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 54/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 62/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 63/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 71/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 74/4 |
| 14 | 0 | 74/4 |
| 15 | 2 | 76/4 |
| 16 | 14 | 90/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 96/4 |
| 18 | 18 | 114/5 |
| 19 | 16 | 130/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 138/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.