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Namibia T20I Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
6 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 81%; South Africa batted first.
South Africa's chances ranged from 82% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 18%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Esterhuizencaught · Ben Curran · Newman Nyamhuri 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ben Curran · b Newman Nyamhuri | 32 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 139.13 |
| Jordan Hermanncaught · Ryan Burl · Brad Evans 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ryan Burl · b Brad Evans | 53 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 182.76 |
| Dewald Breviscaught · Sikandar Raza · Brad Evans 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Brad Evans | 32 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 139.13 |
| Tony de Zorzistumped · Tadiwanashe Marumani · Sikandar Raza 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Tadiwanashe Marumani · b Sikandar Raza | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 154.55 |
| Rubin Hermanncaught · Tadiwanashe Marumani · Newman Nyamhuri 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tadiwanashe Marumani · b Newman Nyamhuri | 27 |
| 16 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 168.75 |
| Eathan Boschnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Duan Jansennot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 14 | 4 | 0 | 164.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Madhevere0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Blessing Muzarabani0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Newman Nyamhuri0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 2 | 12.75 | 7 | 0 |
| Brad Evans0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Kundai Matigimu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-84 (Connor Esterhuizen, 7.5) · 2-93 (Jordan Hermann, 9.5) · 3-122 (Tony de Zorzi, 12.4) · 4-169 (Dewald Brevis, 16.4) · 5-172 (Rubin Hermann, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 43/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 47/0 |
| 6 | 20 | 67/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 73/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 84/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 94/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 107/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 119/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 122/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 133/3 |
| 15 | 17 | 150/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 163/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 171/4 |
| 18 | 15 | 186/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 191/5 |
| 20 | 14 | 205/5 |
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
