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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2023/24 · Women
16 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 34%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 8% to 87% during the match (Thailand: 13% to 92%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught · S Khiaoto · Aphisara Suwanchonrathi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Khiaoto · b Aphisara Suwanchonrathi | 14 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 41.18 |
| Kavisha Egodagerun out · Chanida Sutthiruang · Aphisara Suwanchonrathi 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Chanida Sutthiruang | 21 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 51.22 |
| Theertha Satishlbw · Aphisara Suwanchonrathi 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aphisara Suwanchonrathi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Khushi Sharmarun out · Naruemol Chaiwai · Onnicha Kamchomphu 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Naruemol Chaiwai | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Heena Hotchandanibowled · T Putthawong 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b T Putthawong | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 50.00 |
| S Dharnidharkabowled · Chanida Sutthiruang 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chanida Sutthiruang | 13 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 65.00 |
|---|
| Rinitha Rajithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Vaishnave Maheshbowled · T Putthawong 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b T Putthawong | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| I Nandakumarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chanida Sutthiruang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Nattaya Boochatham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| T Putthawong1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aphisara Suwanchonrathi0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 4.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Phannita Maya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Onnicha Kamchomphu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-34 (Kavisha Egodage, 12.1) · 2-41 (Theertha Satish, 12.4) · 3-43 (Esha Oza, 13.0) · 4-45 (Khushi Sharma, 13.5) · 5-66 (S Dharnidharka, 19.0) · 6-66 (Heena Hotchandani, 19.2) · 7-68 (Vaishnave Mahesh, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 8/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 14/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 15/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 9 | 3 | 22/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 29/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 33/0 |
| 13 | 10 | 43/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 45/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 46/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 55/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 59/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 63/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 66/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 70/7 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nattaya Boochatham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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