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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
31 May 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 47%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Essex: 44% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evelyn Jonescaught · Grace Scrivens · Kate Coppack4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grace Scrivens · b Kate Coppack | 22 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 183.33 |
 Meg Lanningcaught · Kate Coppack · Sophie Munro0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kate Coppack · b Sophie Munro | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Danielle Collinslbw · Grace Scrivens2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Grace Scrivens | 14 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Grace Johnsonbowled · Eva Gray 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eva Gray | 12 | 19 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 63.16 |
 Eleanor Threlkeldstumped · Amara Carr · Grace Scrivens2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amara Carr · b Grace Scrivens | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Seren Smalerun out · Jo Gardner, Amara Carr · Eva Gray 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jo Gardner, Amara Carr | 20 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 95.24 |
|---|
 Fi Morriscaught · Amara Carr · Grace Scrivens0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amara Carr · b Grace Scrivens | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kate Crossnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 19* | 19 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Grace Pottsrun out · Sophia Smale · Sophie Munro 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sophia Smale | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Hannah Jonesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Munro0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Eva Gray0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Scrivens0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Kate Coppack0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Sophia Smale0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Meg Lanning, 0.4) · 2-32 (Danielle Collins, 3.5) · 3-39 (Evelyn Jones, 4.5) · 4-58 (Grace Johnson, 8.2) · 5-93 (Eleanor Threlkeld, 13.5) · 6-93 (Fi Morris, 14.0) · 7-102 (Seren Smale, 15.5) · 8-113 (Grace Potts, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 14 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 40/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 49/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 58/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 62/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 67/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 78/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 89/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 93/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 97/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 102/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 104/7 |
| 18 | 8 | 112/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 117/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 128/8 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Collins: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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