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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2026 · Women
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Japan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Japan started on 80%; Japan batted first.
Japan's chances ranged from 73% to 100% during the match (Bahrain: 0% to 27%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Iwasakicaught · Deepika Rasangika · Sara Vivek 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Deepika Rasangika · b Sara Vivek | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Erika Odacaught · Ashwini Govinda · TI Gajanayake 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashwini Govinda · b TI Gajanayake | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| A Kato-Staffordcaught · Deepika Rasangika · Disna Jayasooriya 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Deepika Rasangika · b Disna Jayasooriya | 63 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 103.28 |
| Seika Sumibowled · TI Gajanayake 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b TI Gajanayake | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| H Gotorun out · Abeera Waris · Abeera Waris 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Abeera Waris | 45 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 104.65 |
| not out |
| 0* |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| S Katonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 13 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Vivek0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 6 | 0 |
| TI Gajanayake0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Abeera Waris0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| RL D'Souza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Disna Jayasooriya0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Deepika Rasangika0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Saee Parkhi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Erika Oda, 1.4) · 2-17 (H Iwasaki, 2.3) · 3-18 (Seika Sumi, 3.1) · 4-129 (H Goto, 18.4) · 5-141 (A Kato-Stafford, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 26/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 29/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 35/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 40/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 46/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 55/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 61/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 67/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 74/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 84/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 90/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 98/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 105/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 113/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 122/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 131/4 |
| 20 | 11 | 142/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.