Sunrisers HyderabadversusRajasthan Royals

24 May 2024 · T20

MA Chidambaram Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 36 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs175/9 Rajasthan Royals20.0 overs139/7 MA Chidambaram Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 45%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Rajasthan Royals is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Rajasthan Royals: 0% to 66%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 3.6: PJ Cummins to T Kohler-Cadmore, T Kohler-Cadmore out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 44% to 57%.
2nd inns 8.3: Abhishek Sharma to SV Samson, SV Samson out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 47% to 62%.
2nd inns 11.1: Shahbaz Ahmed to R Parag, R Parag out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 66% to 79%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad175/9 Rajasthan Royals139/7

Innings 1