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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
16 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 38%; Scotland batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Munseycaught · Michael Levitt · Kyle Klein 12 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Michael Levitt · b Kyle Klein | 80 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 142.86 |
| Charlie Tearcaught · Fred Klaassen · Kyle Klein 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fred Klaassen · b Kyle Klein | 12 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 63.16 |
| Brandon McMullencaught · Kyle Klein · Paul van Meekeren 10 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Kyle Klein · b Paul van Meekeren | 101 | 88 | 10 | 4 | 114.77 |
| Richie Berringtoncaught · Max O'Dowd · Kyle Klein 5 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Max O'Dowd · b Kyle Klein | 105 | 86 | 5 | 5 | 122.09 |
| Finlay McCreathbowled · Roelof van der Merwe 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Roelof van der Merwe | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
Scotland's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Netherlands: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Matty Crosslbw · Paul van Meekeren 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Paul van Meekeren | 41 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 141.38 |
|---|
| Michael Leaskrun out · Scott Edwards, Bas de Leede · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Scott Edwards, Bas de Leede | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Mark Wattcaught · Scott Edwards · Paul van Meekeren0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Paul van Meekeren | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jack Jarvisnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Safyaan Sharifrun out · Scott Edwards, Bas de Leede · Paul van Meekeren 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Scott Edwards, Bas de Leede | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Brad Currienot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Klein1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 60 | 3 | 6.67 | 5 | 0 |
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Paul van Meekeren0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 89 | 3 | 8.90 | 2 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 73 | 1 | 8.11 | 0 | 0 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Bas de Leede0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Levitt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 6.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-39 (Charlie Tear, 6.2) · 2-147 (George Munsey, 19.1) · 3-278 (Brandon McMullen, 38.0) · 4-299 (Finlay McCreath, 40.3) · 5-354 (Richie Berrington, 47.2) · 6-361 (Michael Leask, 48.0) · 7-362 (Mark Watt, 48.2) · 8-364 (Matty Cross, 48.4) · 9-369 (Safyaan Sharif, 49.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 29/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 38/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 51/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 56/1 |
| 11 | 13 | 69/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 72/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 75/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 83/1 |
| 15 | 12 | 95/1 |
| 16 | 13 | 108/1 |
| 17 | 16 | 124/1 |
| 18 | 11 | 135/1 |
| 19 | 12 | 147/1 |
| 20 | 0 | 147/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 153/2 |
| 22 | 7 | 160/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 162/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 164/2 |
| 25 | 8 | 172/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 175/2 |
| 27 | 4 | 179/2 |
| 28 | 9 | 188/2 |
| 29 | 13 | 201/2 |
| 30 | 2 | 203/2 |
| 31 | 7 | 210/2 |
| 32 | 11 | 221/2 |
| 33 | 4 | 225/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 229/2 |
| 35 | 5 | 234/2 |
| 36 | 11 | 245/2 |
| 37 | 9 | 254/2 |
| 38 | 24 | 278/3 |
| 39 | 2 | 280/3 |
| 40 | 12 | 292/3 |
| 41 | 9 | 301/4 |
| 42 | 11 | 312/4 |
| 43 | 13 | 325/4 |
| 44 | 5 | 330/4 |
| 45 | 5 | 335/4 |
| 46 | 8 | 343/4 |
| 47 | 9 | 352/4 |
| 48 | 9 | 361/6 |
| 49 | 8 | 369/9 |
| 50 | 11 | 380/9 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
