Chittagong KingsversusDurbar Rajshahi

20 Jan 2025 · T20

Chittagong Divisional Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Chittagong Kings won by 111 runs

Chittagong Kings20.0 overs191/8 Durbar Rajshahi14.2 overs80/9 Chittagong Divisional Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chittagong Kings started on 53%; Chittagong Kings batted first.

Chittagong Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Durbar Rajshahi is the rest

Chittagong Kings's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Durbar Rajshahi: 0% to 60%).

Biggest swings

1.3: Jishan Alam to Usman Khan, Usman Khan out. Durbar Rajshahi up from 44% to 56%.
2nd inns 0.6: B Fernando to Jishan Alam, Jishan Alam out. Chittagong Kings up from 73% to 81%.
2nd inns 1.3: Arafat Sunny to Mohammad Haris, Mohammad Haris out. Chittagong Kings up from 77% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Chittagong Kings191/8 Durbar Rajshahi80/9

Innings 1