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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
5 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Kuwait started on 42%; Kuwait batted first.
Kuwait's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Qatar: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adnan Idreescaught · Shariq Munir · Mirza Mohammed Baig 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shariq Munir · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 209.09 |
| Ravija Sandaruwancaught · Daniel Louis · Shahzeb Afridi 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Daniel Louis · b Shahzeb Afridi | 29 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 107.41 |
| Clinto Antocaught · Shahzeb Afridi · Obaid ur Rahman 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shahzeb Afridi · b Obaid ur Rahman | 29 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 170.59 |
| Meet Bhavsarbowled · Muhammad Asim 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Asim | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Muhammad Umarcaught · Imal Liyanage · Daniel Louis 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Imal Liyanage · b Daniel Louis | 32 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 160.00 |
| Ali Zaheerbowled · Daniel Louis 1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Louis | 24 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 184.62 |
|---|
| Bilal Tahirnot out 1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 32* | 16 | 1 | 3 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Mohomad Aslamcaught · Zubair Ali · Shariq Munir 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zubair Ali · b Shariq Munir | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 144.44 |
|---|
| Yasin Patelnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shariq Munir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Asim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 13.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Obaid ur Rahman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Owais Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Louis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Shahzeb Afridi0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 16.00 | 0 | 2 |
1-33 (Adnan Idrees, 2.4) · 2-85 (Clinto Anto, 8.3) · 3-90 (Ravija Sandaruwan, 10.2) · 4-99 (Meet Bhavsar, 11.1) · 5-126 (Ali Zaheer, 14.0) · 6-150 (Muhammad Umar, 15.5) · 7-175 (Mohomad Aslam, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 34/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 63/1 |
| 8 | 15 | 78/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 86/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 99/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 103/4 |
| 13 | 22 | 125/4 |
| 14 | 1 | 126/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 138/5 |
| 16 | 13 | 151/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 155/6 |
| 18 | 13 | 168/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 177/7 |
| 20 | 22 | 199/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.