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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Essex started on 56%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Waltercaught · Eathan Bosch · Noah Cornwell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eathan Bosch · b Noah Cornwell | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Josh de Caires · Eathan Bosch 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh de Caires · b Eathan Bosch | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 127.27 |
| CWJ Allisonbowled · SHB Morgan 5 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b SHB Morgan | 61 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 164.86 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught and bowled · Tom Helm 8 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Tom Helm | 67 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 119.64 |
 Wiaan Muldernot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 142.86 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught and bowled · SHB Morgan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b SHB Morgan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 12 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 14.33 | 5 | 0 |
| SHB Morgan0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Paul Walter, 2.0) · 2-26 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 3.0) · 3-159 (Luc Benkenstein, 18.1) · 4-176 (CWJ Allison, 19.3) · 5-176 (Matthew Critchley, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 26/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 42/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 57/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 65/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 78/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 86/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 98/2 |
| 14 | 12 | 110/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 115/2 |
| 16 | 8 | 123/2 |
| 17 | 25 | 148/2 |
| 18 | 11 | 159/2 |
| 19 | 11 | 170/3 |
| 20 | 6 | 176/5 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
