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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
9 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Otago started on 41%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 1% to 65% during the match (Wellington: 35% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicity Leydon-Davislbw · Ellyse Perry 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ellyse Perry | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 109.09 |
| Bella Jamescaught · Jess Kerr · N Baird 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b N Baird | 29 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 107.41 |
| CG Blakelyrun out · Jess McFadyen, JA Simmons · Ellyse Perry 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jess McFadyen, JA Simmons | 36 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Laura Harrisbowled · N Baird 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b N Baird | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Polly Inglisstumped · Jess McFadyen · Jess Kerr 3 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Jess McFadyen · b Jess Kerr | 26 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 130.00 |
| caught · N Baird · b XA Jetly |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
| PJ Watkinsrun out · Ellyse Perry · Maitlan Brown 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ellyse Perry | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Eva Graynot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XA Jetly0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Maitlan Brown0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Ellyse Perry0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| HC Francis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| N Baird0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Felicity Leydon-Davis, 5.2) · 2-53 (Bella James, 7.4) · 3-53 (Laura Harris, 7.5) · 4-91 (Polly Inglis, 12.5) · 5-101 (AS Browning, 14.5) · 6-130 (CG Blakely, 18.3) · 7-143 (PJ Watkins, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 53/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 62/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 66/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 72/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 86/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 97/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 101/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 107/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 118/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 127/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 133/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 143/7 |
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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