Sharjah WarriorzversusMI Emirates

19 Jan 2025 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

MI Emirates won by 9 wickets

Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs176/9 MI Emirates17.4 overs177/1 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 46%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · MI Emirates is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (MI Emirates: 23% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.3: Fazalhaq Farooqi to JJ Roy, JJ Roy out. MI Emirates up from 52% to 62%.
5.6: R Shepherd to WIA Fernando, WIA Fernando out. MI Emirates up from 35% to 43%.
2nd inns 2.4: D Madushanka to Waseem Muhammad, Waseem Muhammad out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 59% to 70%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz176/9 MI Emirates177/1

Innings 1