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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
10 Jan 2026 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 54%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Auckland: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rhys Mariucaught · AL Olliver · Ryan Harrison9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AL Olliver · b Ryan Harrison | 43 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 186.96 |
 Tom Lathamcaught · Cam Fletcher · Ryan Harrison6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Cam Fletcher · b Ryan Harrison | 55 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 171.88 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Ryan Harrison · H Johal 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Harrison · b H Johal | 52 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 157.58 |
| Cole McConchiecaught · Mark Chapman · AL Olliver 0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Mark Chapman · b AL Olliver | 28 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 215.38 |
| caught · Cam Fletcher · b H Johal |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Harry Chamberlaincaught · S Dixit · AL Olliver 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Dixit · b AL Olliver | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| LLB Harpernot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 15* | 6 | 0 | 2 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Cameron Paulnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| AL Olliver0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan Harrison0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
| H Johal0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Rohit Gulati0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| S Dixit0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-59 (Rhys Mariu, 5.3) · 2-148 (Tom Latham, 14.0) · 3-163 (Matt Boyle, 15.2) · 4-165 (Leo Carter, 15.5) · 5-191 (Harry Chamberlain, 18.3) · 6-200 (Cole McConchie, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 44/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 54/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 63/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 78/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 91/1 |
| 10 | 13 | 104/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 115/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 126/1 |
| 13 | 12 | 138/1 |
| 14 | 10 | 148/2 |
| 15 | 14 | 162/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 168/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 179/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 185/4 |
| 19 | 15 | 200/6 |
| 20 | 16 | 216/6 |
Rhys Mariu: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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