Sharjah WarriorzversusGulf Giants

10 Dec 2025 · T20

Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gulf Giants won by 6 wickets

Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs157/6 Gulf Giants19.4 overs158/4 Dubai International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 44%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Gulf Giants is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 3% to 57% during the match (Gulf Giants: 43% to 97%).

Biggest swings

3.2: MR Adair to T Kohler-Cadmore, T Kohler-Cadmore out. Gulf Giants up from 46% to 55%.
2nd inns 18.6: AU Rashid to MG Erasmus, 0 runs to MG Erasmus. Sharjah Warriorz up from 11% to 21%.
2nd inns 19.1: TG Southee to Azmatullah Omarzai, six by Azmatullah Omarzai. Gulf Giants up from 79% to 97%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz157/6 Gulf Giants158/4

Innings 1