Trinbago Knight RidersversusGuyana Amazon Warriors

23 Aug 2024 · T20

Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Guyana Amazon Warriors won by 8 wickets

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs130/6 Guyana Amazon Warriors17.2 overs134/2 Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 46%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Guyana Amazon Warriors is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 75% during the match (Guyana Amazon Warriors: 26% to 100%).

Biggest swings

8.1: CL Tryon to DJS Dottin, DJS Dottin out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 37% to 44%.
2nd inns 0.5: JL Jonassen to NY McLean, NY McLean out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 51% to 62%.
2nd inns 3.3: S Pandey to SR Taylor, SR Taylor out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 61% to 73%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders130/6 Guyana Amazon Warriors134/2

Innings 1