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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
3 Jun 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographMiddlesex started on 31%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 38% during the match (Surrey: 62% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Will Jacks · Reece Topley0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Reece Topley | 20 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 117.65 |
| Max Holdenbowled · Jordan Clark 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jordan Clark | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Josh de Cairesbowled · Sean Abbott 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sean Abbott | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
| Ben Geddesrun out · Reece Topley, Ollie Pope · Sean Abbott 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Reece Topley, Ollie Pope | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Leus du Plooy |
| caught · Sam Curran · b Jordan Clark |
| 8 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
 Ryan Higginscaught · Jason Roy · Tom Curran1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Tom Curran | 27 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 93.10 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmannot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 31* | 29 | 1 | 1 | 106.90 |
|---|
| Eathan Boschcaught · Tom Curran · Sean Abbott 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Curran · b Sean Abbott | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| SHB Morgannot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 4 | 0 |
 Jordan Clark0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-24 (Max Holden, 3.2) · 2-39 (Adam Rossington, 5.1) · 3-43 (Ben Geddes, 6.2) · 4-44 (Josh de Caires, 6.5) · 5-54 (Leus du Plooy, 9.2) · 6-101 (Ryan Higgins, 15.5) · 7-115 (Eathan Bosch, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 41/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 44/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 51/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 54/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 57/5 |
| 11 | 7 | 64/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 74/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 77/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 81/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 90/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 101/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 106/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 115/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 120/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 130/7 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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