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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
11 Jul 2024 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographDurham started on 47%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Yorkshire: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shan Masood · b Ben Cliff | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 110.53 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Donavon Ferreira · b Dominic Bess | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dominic Bess · b Dan Moriarty | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| bowled · b JA Chohan |
| 10 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 111.11 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jordan Thompson | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Dominic Bess | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 106.67 |
|---|
3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b JA Chohan | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 117.86 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b JA Chohan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuiscaught · Donavon Ferreira · JA Chohan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b JA Chohan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Sowterstumped · Donavon Ferreira · JA Chohan 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Donavon Ferreira · b JA Chohan | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Callum Parkinsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Cliff0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 1 | 2 | |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 3.82 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Alex Lees, 2.0) · 2-24 (Ollie Robinson, 3.3) · 3-28 (Graham Clark, 4.3) · 4-40 (Bas de Leede, 6.5) · 5-40 (Colin Ackermann, 7.1) · 6-96 (Ashton Turner, 14.0) · 7-96 (Ben Raine, 14.1) · 8-96 (Ben Dwarshuis, 14.2) · 9-97 (Michael Jones, 14.4) · 10-107 (Nathan Sowter, 16.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 33/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 35/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 40/4 |
| 8 | 8 | 48/5 |
| 9 | 4 | 52/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 57/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 62/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 68/5 |
| 13 | 15 | 83/5 |
| 14 | 13 | 96/6 |
| 15 | 1 | 97/9 |
| 16 | 9 | 106/9 |
| 17 | 1 | 107/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Hill: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.