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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
20 Jun 2024 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographSurrey started on 67%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Tom Helm · Luke Hollman4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Helm · b Luke Hollman | 32 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 110.34 |
 Dominic Sibleylbw · Tom Helm1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tom Helm | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Laurie Evanslbw · Luke Hollman 5 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Luke Hollman | 41 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 205.00 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Stephen Eskinazi · Luke Hollman2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Stephen Eskinazi · b Luke Hollman | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
 Jamie Smithlbw · Luke Hollman0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Luke Hollman | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
 Rory Burnsstumped · Jack Davies · Luke Hollman0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jack Davies · b Luke Hollman | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tom Currancaught · Luke Hollman · Henry Brookes4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Luke Hollman · b Henry Brookes | 48 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 171.43 |
|---|
 Jordan Clarkrun out · Leus du Plooy · Tom Helm1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Leus du Plooy | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
 Sean Abbottcaught · Tom Helm · Noah Cornwell0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Helm · b Noah Cornwell | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Spencer Johnsonnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Henry Brookes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 12.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Blake Cullen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Dominic Sibley, 1.4) · 2-72 (Laurie Evans, 7.3) · 3-91 (Ollie Pope, 10.2) · 4-103 (Daniel Lawrence, 12.1) · 5-105 (Rory Burns, 12.4) · 6-106 (Jamie Smith, 13.0) · 7-131 (Jordan Clark, 16.0) · 8-168 (Sean Abbott, 19.0) · 9-181 (Tom Curran, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 16 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 74/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 78/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 91/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 96/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 106/6 |
| 14 | 12 | 118/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 122/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 131/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 140/7 |
| 18 | 19 | 159/7 |
| 19 | 9 | 168/8 |
| 20 | 17 | 185/9 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rory Burns: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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