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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B · 2026 · Men
13 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Estonia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Turkey started on 44%; Turkey batted first.
Turkey's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (Estonia: 50% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdullah Khan Lodhicaught · H Aggarwal · Zeeshan Ali (3) 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Aggarwal · b Zeeshan Ali (3) | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| A Turkmenbowled · Ashraful Shuvo 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ashraful Shuvo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
| I Eleccaught · A Paul · Zeeshan Ali (3) 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Paul · b Zeeshan Ali (3) | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ilyas Ataullahcaught · H Aggarwal · Ashraful Shuvo 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Aggarwal · b Ashraful Shuvo | 15 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Murat Yilmazbowled · Ashraful Shuvo 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ashraful Shuvo | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| stumped · R Sekaran · b K Vislapuu |
| 15 |
| 22 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 68.18 |
| Muhammad Fahadbowled · Habib Khan 2 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Habib Khan | 41 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 157.69 |
|---|
| M Ozturklbw · H Aggarwal 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b H Aggarwal | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Serdar Burak Emirbowled · Habib Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Habib Khan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Kursad Dalyancaught and bowled · Habib Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Habib Khan | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Mertcan Filiznot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashraful Shuvo1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Zeeshan Ali (3)0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| H Aggarwal0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Habib Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| K Vislapuu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| A Paul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (A Turkmen, 0.5) · 2-8 (I Elec, 2.0) · 3-18 (Abdullah Khan Lodhi, 3.4) · 4-39 (Murat Yilmaz, 8.1) · 5-50 (Ilyas Ataullah, 10.4) · 6-86 (Mustafa Balkis, 15.0) · 7-87 (M Ozturk, 15.2) · 8-98 (Serdar Burak Emir, 16.5) · 9-116 (Ibrahim Kursad Dalyan, 19.2) · 10-117 (Muhammad Fahad, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 8 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 18/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 24/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 31/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 34/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 39/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 43/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 52/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 56/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 62/5 |
| 14 | 18 | 80/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 86/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 89/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 98/8 |
| 18 | 8 | 106/8 |
| 19 | 8 | 114/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 117/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.