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Norway Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2025 · Men
17 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 15%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 1% to 30% during the match (Norway: 70% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imal Zuwakbowled · Qamar Mushtaque 8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Qamar Mushtaque | 56 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Awais Ahmadcaught · Wahidullah Sahak · M Shahbaz Butt 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Wahidullah Sahak · b M Shahbaz Butt | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 120.00 |
| A Mundracaught · AJ Parmar · M Shahbaz Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AJ Parmar · b M Shahbaz Butt | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| YS Chauhanrun out · Khizer Ahmed, Ibrahim Rahimi · AJ Parmar 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Khizer Ahmed, Ibrahim Rahimi | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Saeed Ahmed (2)caught · Wahidullah Sahak · Qamar Mushtaque 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Wahidullah Sahak · b Qamar Mushtaque | 32 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 145.45 |
| Samiullah Rahmanicaught · Walid Ghauri · Wahidullah Sahak 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Walid Ghauri · b Wahidullah Sahak |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ihsanullah Wafabowled · Vinay Ravi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vinay Ravi | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Khalid Zahidrun out · Khizer Ahmed, Qamar Mushtaque · Qamar Mushtaque 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Khizer Ahmed, Qamar Mushtaque | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Abdul Naser Baluchcaught · Khizer Ahmed · Qamar Mushtaque 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khizer Ahmed · b Qamar Mushtaque | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| SK Gedaranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| A Dhabenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinay Ravi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ahmadullah Shinwari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Qamar Mushtaque0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| M Shahbaz Butt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| AJ Parmar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| D Abeyrathna0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahidullah Sahak0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-43 (Awais Ahmad, 5.5) · 2-43 (A Mundra, 6.0) · 3-56 (YS Chauhan, 8.3) · 4-101 (Saeed Ahmed (2), 14.0) · 5-114 (Samiullah Rahmani, 15.0) · 6-121 (Ihsanullah Wafa, 16.5) · 7-121 (Imal Zuwak, 17.1) · 8-123 (Khalid Zahid, 17.3) · 9-123 (Abdul Naser Baluch, 17.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 36/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 59/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 71/3 |
| 12 | 15 | 86/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 96/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 101/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 114/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 118/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 121/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 125/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 131/9 |
| 20 | 5 | 136/9 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
