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Nepal Women tour of Malaysia · 2025/26 · Women
4 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 58%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 64% during the match (Nepal: 36% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainna Hamizah Hashimnot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 50* | 63 | 5 | 0 | 79.37 |
| Nur Dania Syuhadalbw · K Kunwar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b K Kunwar | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Winifred Duraisingamlbw · S Bist 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b S Bist | 15 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 51.72 |
| Mas Elysabowled · S Bist 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Bist | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
| Mahirah Ismailrun out · K Kunwar, Kabita Joshi · Kabita Joshi 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · K Kunwar, Kabita Joshi | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Nur Arianna Natsyanot out0 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 0* |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Kunwar0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Puja Mahato0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Riya Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| R Chaudhary0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Kabita Joshi0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 1 | 1 |
| S Bist0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| I Barma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Nur Dania Syuhada, 0.4) · 2-44 (Winifred Duraisingam, 9.4) · 3-58 (Mas Elysa, 14.0) · 4-84 (Mahirah Ismail, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 27/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 39/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 42/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 44/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 45/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 48/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 52/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 58/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 61/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 66/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 70/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 79/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 84/4 |
| 20 | 7 | 91/4 |
Kabita Joshi: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rubina Chhetri: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
