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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
4 Sept 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 48%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 0% to 51% during the match (Sussex: 49% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltbowled · Ollie Robinson0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ollie Robinson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Keaton Jenningsbowled · Ollie Robinson 4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Ollie Robinson | 37 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 185.00 |
| Matthew Hurstbowled · Brad Currie 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brad Currie | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Luke Wellscaught · Jofra Archer · Brad Currie 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jofra Archer · b Brad Currie | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Liam Livingstonerun out · Ollie Robinson · Tymal Mills 3 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Ollie Robinson | 43 |
| 35 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 122.86 |
 George Dockrellbowled · James Coles0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Coles | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Steven Croftcaught · Tom Alsop · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Jofra Archer | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleycaught · Tom Clark · Jack Carson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Clark · b Jack Carson | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Tom Aspinwalllbw · James Coles 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b James Coles | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Luke Woodnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Saqib Mahmoodbowled · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jofra Archer0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.71 | 1 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 2 | 2 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Carson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Philip Salt, 0.1) · 2-29 (Matthew Hurst, 3.2) · 3-35 (Luke Wells, 3.5) · 4-59 (Keaton Jennings, 6.5) · 5-60 (George Dockrell, 7.4) · 6-63 (Steven Croft, 8.3) · 7-66 (Tom Hartley, 10.0) · 8-73 (Tom Aspinwall, 10.5) · 9-108 (Liam Livingstone, 13.5) · 10-114 (Saqib Mahmood, 15.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 16 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 35/3 |
| 5 | 8 | 43/3 |
| 6 | 13 | 56/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 60/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 62/5 |
| 9 | 1 | 63/6 |
| 10 | 3 | 66/7 |
| 11 | 7 | 73/8 |
| 12 | 13 | 86/8 |
| 13 | 12 | 98/8 |
| 14 | 11 | 109/9 |
| 15 | 5 | 114/9 |
| 16 | 0 | 114/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Steven Croft: AMBerry · CC BY-SA 3.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Dockrell: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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