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New Zealand Women tour of England · 2026 · Women
16 May 2026 · ODI
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Lambcaught · Izzy Gaze · Bree Illing 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Bree Illing | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Jodi Grewcockcaught · Izzy Gaze · Rosemary Mair 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Rosemary Mair | 10 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 35.71 |
 Heather Knightcaught · Izzy Gaze · Bree Illing5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Bree Illing | 28 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Alice Capseycaught · Izzy Sharp · Rosemary Mair4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Sharp · b Rosemary Mair | 45 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
| caught · Rosemary Mair · b Amelia Kerr |
| 20 |
| 28 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
 Danielle Gibsonbowled · Nensi Patel0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nensi Patel | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Amy Jonescaught · Izzy Sharp · Jess Kerr3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Sharp · b Jess Kerr | 27 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Charlie Deannot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 16 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Sophie Ecclestonenot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 4.43 | 1 | 0 |
| Bree Illing0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 4.14 | 8 | 0 |
| Rosemary Mair0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 5.86 | 2 | 0 |
 Amelia Kerr0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 6.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Nensi Patel1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Suzie Bates0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Emma Lamb, 1.3) · 2-47 (Jodi Grewcock, 10.5) · 3-66 (Heather Knight, 15.1) · 4-123 (Freya Kemp, 24.5) · 5-125 (Alice Capsey, 25.3) · 6-127 (Danielle Gibson, 26.3) · 7-172 (Amy Jones, 32.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 25/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 30/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 33/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 39/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 47/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 50/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 56/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 61/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 66/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 68/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 77/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 81/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 86/3 |
| 20 | 6 | 92/3 |
| 21 | 7 | 99/3 |
| 22 | 9 | 108/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 110/3 |
| 24 | 7 | 117/3 |
| 25 | 6 | 123/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 127/5 |
| 27 | 0 | 127/6 |
| 28 | 7 | 134/6 |
| 29 | 7 | 141/6 |
| 30 | 8 | 149/6 |
| 31 | 11 | 160/6 |
| 32 | 12 | 172/6 |
| 33 | 9 | 181/7 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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