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Netherlands Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
25 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 52%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levittcaught · Shadley van Schalkwyk · Harmeet Singh 6 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Shadley van Schalkwyk · b Harmeet Singh | 68 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 200.00 |
| Max O'Dowdcaught · J Drysdale · Shadley van Schalkwyk 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Drysdale · b Shadley van Schalkwyk | 28 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 215.38 |
| Vikramjit Singhcaught · Jasdeep Singh · Shadley van Schalkwyk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b Shadley van Schalkwyk | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Scott Edwardsnot out 4 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 81* | 40 | 4 | 4 | 202.50 |
 Zach Lion-Cachetbowled · J Drysdale0 fours · 1 sixes |
| bowled · b J Drysdale |
| 14 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 100.00 |
| Ryan Kleincaught · Nitish Kumar · Shadley van Schalkwyk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nitish Kumar · b Shadley van Schalkwyk | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Noah Croesnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Drysdale0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Shadley van Schalkwyk0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasir Mohammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-77 (Max O'Dowd, 5.2) · 2-77 (Vikramjit Singh, 6.0) · 3-132 (Michael Levitt, 11.2) · 4-164 (Zach Lion-Cachet, 15.0) · 5-209 (Ryan Klein, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 27/0 |
| 3 | 19 | 46/0 |
| 4 | 17 | 63/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 76/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 77/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 81/2 |
| 8 | 13 | 94/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 99/2 |
| 10 | 18 | 117/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 131/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 137/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 150/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 154/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 164/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 176/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 185/4 |
| 18 | 13 | 198/4 |
| 19 | 11 | 209/4 |
| 20 | 8 | 217/5 |
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
