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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Men
23 Jul 2026 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 20%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 20% during the match (India: 80% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · Ishan Kishan · Mayank Yadav 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ishan Kishan · b Mayank Yadav | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ben Currancaught · Vaibhav Suryavanshi · Prince Yadav 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vaibhav Suryavanshi · b Prince Yadav | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Dion Myerscaught · Shivam Dube · Mayank Yadav 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shivam Dube · b Mayank Yadav | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 42.86 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Suryansh Shedge · Shivam Dube1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Suryansh Shedge · b Shivam Dube | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Ryan Burlcaught · Tilak Varma · Ravi Bishnoi 1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Tilak Varma · b Ravi Bishnoi |
| 26 |
| 35 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 74.29 |
| Wesley Madhevererun out · Ishan Kishan, Shivam Dube · Prince Yadav 3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Ishan Kishan, Shivam Dube | 39 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 114.71 |
|---|
| Tadiwanashe Marumaninot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 27* | 20 | 2 | 1 | 135.00 |
|---|
| Brad Evanscaught · Shreyas Iyer · Prince Yadav 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyas Iyer · b Prince Yadav | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Newman Nyamhurinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayank Yadav0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Ashok Sharma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Prince Yadav0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Shivam Dube0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ravi Bishnoi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-0 (Brian Bennett, 0.1) · 2-19 (Ben Curran, 3.2) · 3-20 (Dion Myers, 4.2) · 4-32 (Sikandar Raza, 7.2) · 5-64 (Ryan Burl, 13.1) · 6-122 (Wesley Madhevere, 19.2) · 7-122 (Brad Evans, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 26/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 31/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 37/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 40/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 46/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 56/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 59/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 64/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 72/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 78/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 89/5 |
| 17 | 9 | 98/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 109/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 117/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 125/7 |
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ishan Kishan: Tata Ipl 2022 · CC BY 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
