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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
9 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 73%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 82% during the match (Qatar: 18% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Azizcaught · Muhammad Tanveer · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Tanveer · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Muhammad Haziq Aimanbowled · Mujeeb Ur Rehman 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Mujeeb Ur Rehman | 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 209.09 |
| Ahmed Faizcaught and bowled · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Virandeep Singhnot out 5 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 62* | 54 | 5 | 3 | 114.81 |
| Muhamad Syahadatcaught · Imal Liyanage · Mirza Mohammed Baig 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imal Liyanage · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| caught · Muhammad Asim · b Mirza Mohammed Baig |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Vijay Unnirun out · Mujeeb Ur Rehman · Shariq Munir 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mujeeb Ur Rehman | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Sharvin Muniandycaught and bowled · Owais Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Owais Ahmed | 14 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Khizar Hayatlbw · Owais Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Owais Ahmed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ainool Hafizscaught · Mirza Mohammed Baig · Owais Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mirza Mohammed Baig · b Owais Ahmed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Arif Ullahnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Mujeeb Ur Rehman0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Owais Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Shariq Munir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Louis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Syed Aziz, 2.1) · 2-31 (Muhammad Haziq Aiman, 3.4) · 3-31 (Ahmed Faiz, 4.1) · 4-40 (Muhamad Syahadat, 6.2) · 5-40 (Ahmed Aqeel, 6.4) · 6-51 (Vijay Unni, 9.0) · 7-88 (Sharvin Muniandy, 15.4) · 8-88 (Khizar Hayat, 15.5) · 9-88 (Ainool Hafizs, 16.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 31/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 39/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 43/5 |
| 8 | 2 | 45/5 |
| 9 | 6 | 51/6 |
| 10 | 3 | 54/6 |
| 11 | 9 | 63/6 |
| 12 | 9 | 72/6 |
| 13 | 3 | 75/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 78/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 85/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 88/9 |
| 17 | 11 | 99/9 |
| 18 | 5 | 104/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 110/9 |
| 20 | 13 | 123/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.