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Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
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ICC Men's T20 World Cup · 2025/26 · Men
9 Feb 2026 · T20
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 45%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 51% during the match (Zimbabwe: 50% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aamir Kaleemcaught · Dion Myers · Blessing Muzarabani 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dion Myers · b Blessing Muzarabani | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Jatinder Singhbowled · Blessing Muzarabani 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Blessing Muzarabani | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Hammad Mirzacaught · Brendan Taylor · Richard Ngarava 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brendan Taylor · b Richard Ngarava | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| K Sonavalecaught · Brendan Taylor · Blessing Muzarabani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brendan Taylor · b Blessing Muzarabani | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Wasim Alibowled · Sikandar Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sikandar Raza | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| caught · Tashinga Musekiwa · b Brad Evans |
| 25 |
| 39 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 64.10 |
| Vinayak Shuklacaught · Brendan Taylor · Richard Ngarava 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brendan Taylor · b Richard Ngarava | 28 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Jiten Ramanandicaught · Dion Myers · Richard Ngarava 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dion Myers · b Richard Ngarava | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Nadeem Khan (2)caught · Brian Bennett · Brad Evans 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Brad Evans | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedbowled · Brad Evans 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brad Evans | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Shah Faisalnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Ngarava1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Blessing Muzarabani1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Brad Evans0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.70 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Wellington Masakadza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Jatinder Singh, 1.1) · 2-8 (Hammad Mirza, 2.2) · 3-16 (Aamir Kaleem, 3.3) · 4-17 (K Sonavale, 4.0) · 5-27 (Wasim Ali, 7.0) · 6-69 (Vinayak Shukla, 14.1) · 7-71 (Jiten Ramanandi, 15.0) · 8-76 (Sufyan Mehmood, 16.2) · 9-96 (Shakeel Ahmed, 19.1) · 10-103 (Nadeem Khan (2), 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 17/4 |
| 5 | 2 | 19/4 |
| 6 | 5 | 24/4 |
| 7 | 3 | 27/5 |
| 8 | 1 | 28/5 |
| 9 | 2 | 30/5 |
| 10 | 8 | 38/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 43/5 |
| 12 | 17 | 60/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 65/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 69/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 71/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 75/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 82/8 |
| 18 | 6 | 88/8 |
| 19 | 8 | 96/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 103/10 |
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
