Texas Super KingsversusLos Angeles Knight Riders

3 Jul 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Los Angeles Knight Riders won by 6 wickets

Texas Super Kings20.0 overs173/5 Los Angeles Knight Riders18.4 overs175/4 Knight Riders Cricket Ground, Pomona ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Texas Super Kings started on 57%; Texas Super Kings batted first.

Texas Super Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Los Angeles Knight Riders is the rest

Texas Super Kings's chances ranged from 0% to 91% during the match (Los Angeles Knight Riders: 10% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.1: SP Narine to F du Plessis, F du Plessis out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 36% to 47%.
2nd inns 15.5: Amshi de Silva to C Munro, six by C Munro. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 57% to 70%.
2nd inns 16.1: AF Milne to R Powell, six by R Powell. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 74% to 87%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Texas Super Kings173/5 Los Angeles Knight Riders175/4

Innings 1