Royal Challengers BengaluruversusGujarat Titans

30 Apr 2026 · T20

Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gujarat Titans won by 4 wickets

Royal Challengers Bengaluru19.2 overs155/10 Gujarat Titans15.5 overs158/6 Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 53%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 28% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.2: K Rabada to V Kohli, V Kohli out. Gujarat Titans up from 41% to 55%.
8.1: JO Holder to JM Sharma, JM Sharma out. Gujarat Titans up from 47% to 60%.
9.4: Rashid Khan to TH David, TH David out. Gujarat Titans up from 56% to 72%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru155/10 Gujarat Titans158/6

Innings 1