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Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
6 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Auckland started on 53%; Auckland batted first.
Auckland's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Otago: 0% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Phillipsbowled · Danru Ferns 11 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Danru Ferns | 77 | 36 | 11 | 3 | 213.89 |
| LD Watsoncaught · JM Cumming · Ben Lockrose 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · JM Cumming · b Ben Lockrose | 11 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 61.11 |
| Bevon Jacobsbowled · Matthew Bacon 4 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Bacon | 53 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 165.63 |
 Martin Guptillcaught · Jake Gibson · Matthew Bacon1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jake Gibson · b Matthew Bacon | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 130.00 |
| Sean Soliacaught · Matthew Bacon · Ben Lockrose 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Bacon · b Ben Lockrose |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 100.00 |
 Cam Fletcherbowled · Ben Lockrose1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Lockrose | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Ryan Harrisonnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| S Dixitnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Hazeldine0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Bacon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Danru Ferns0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Lockrose0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Troy Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Gibson0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 1 |
1-74 (LD Watson, 7.5) · 2-105 (Dale Phillips, 10.3) · 3-140 (Martin Guptill, 14.0) · 4-163 (Sean Solia, 16.5) · 5-184 (Cam Fletcher, 18.1) · 6-198 (Bevon Jacobs, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 49/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 57/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 63/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 75/1 |
| 9 | 19 | 94/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 104/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 110/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 120/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 126/2 |
| 14 | 14 | 140/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 144/3 |
| 16 | 16 | 160/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 164/4 |
| 18 | 20 | 184/4 |
| 19 | 13 | 197/5 |
| 20 | 3 | 200/6 |
Martin Guptill: Government House, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet · CC0
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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