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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jun 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 54%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 30% to 99% during the match (Derbyshire: 1% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · Ross Whiteley · Fynn Hudson-Prentice1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Fynn Hudson-Prentice | 18 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 128.57 |
 Alex Leesbowled · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Ollie Robinsonlbw · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar11 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar | 70 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 152.17 |
 Colin Ackermanncaught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · Martin Andersson2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · b Martin Andersson |
| 33 |
| 30 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 110.00 |
| James Neeshamcaught · Caleb Jewell · Fynn Hudson-Prentice 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Caleb Jewell · b Fynn Hudson-Prentice | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Kasey Aldridgerun out · Brooke Guest · Fynn Hudson-Prentice 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Brooke Guest | 19 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 126.67 |
|---|
 Will Rhodesnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Fynn Hudson-Prentice0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Alex Thomson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 2 | 0 |
1-3 (Alex Lees, 0.5) · 2-43 (Graham Clark, 5.3) · 3-127 (Colin Ackermann, 15.0) · 4-132 (Ollie Robinson, 15.3) · 5-151 (James Neesham, 17.3) · 6-167 (Kasey Aldridge, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 44/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 77/2 |
| 11 | 16 | 93/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 97/2 |
| 13 | 14 | 111/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 117/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 127/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 135/4 |
| 17 | 14 | 149/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 154/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 165/5 |
| 20 | 3 | 168/6 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fynn Hudson-Prentice: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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